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It is a subsidiary of The Pew Charitable Trusts. Newsletters Donate My Account. Research Topics. What is a caucus, and how is it different from a primary?
Share this link:. Sign up for our weekly newsletter Fresh data delivered Saturday mornings. Near-record number of primaries this year, but not quite as early. Latino Democratic voters place high importance on presidential election. Use of election forecasts in campaign coverage can confuse voters and may lower turnout.
Topics U. Still, Democratic caucuses in the last two decades have been eerily good at predicting the nominee. Expect to see candidates pouring time and money into the state and hoping they can continue that trend. Correction: President Ronald Reagan won the election.
Senator Bob Dole represented Kansas. Katie Akin is a politics reporter for the Register. Reach her at kakin registermedia. Your subscription makes work like this possible.
Subscribe today at DesMoinesRegister. Facebook Twitter Email. Historically, do winners Iowa caucus go on to earn their party's nomination, become president? Fair enough. Yet Iowa Democrats also want influence over the national nominating process. They want to produce a clear result for the media and political world to make hay over. Again, fair enough. These criticisms came to a head after the close Clinton-Sanders contest in So when reports of miscounted results spread on social media and in the press many from Sanders supporters , there was no paper trail that could prove or disprove their claims.
The first step after some speeches and discussion is for attendees in the room to divide up, moving to sit or stand with others who support the same candidate. This would be the pre-realignment vote total for this precinct, and this result would be recorded and reported on the preference cards. There is no secret ballot. The number that matters next is the viability threshold — which is 15 percent in most precincts but is higher in some precincts that have three or fewer delegates at stake.
So here, those initial Sanders, Biden, Warren, and Buttigieg supporters are all locked in. However, Klobuchar has fallen short, with only 14 out of supporters. So her supporters are now free to switch to support any of the viable candidates or none of them, if they prefer.
The new vote total would be:. This would also be recorded and reported. As you can see, it moved Biden from second place to first. So to get the statewide totals for both the pre-alignment vote and the final vote, you just add up those numbers from each individual caucus site.
Now, when delegates come in is when it gets really confusing. It will be familiar to you from previous primaries that the overall vote result in a state contest can differ somewhat from its delegate results.
But the Iowa caucuses complicate things further because there are three different sets of delegates involved. So, backing up: Remember that the key metric on caucus night that Iowa Democrats have tracked in years past is called state delegate equivalents.
In practice, this is a transformation of the precinct caucus night results — how many county convention delegates each candidate gets — to an estimate of how many state convention delegates that corresponds to. How does that translate to delegate results? The results of the Iowa caucus are expected to be released throughout the evening. Sometimes, the winner of the caucus is not known until the next day.
Caucuses are like neighborhood party gatherings. They are held in schools, community buildings and churches around the state, and begin with messages from state and local party officials. Instead of voting for a candidate using a secret ballot, caucuses involve physically moving to a designated part of a room along with others who support the same contender.
Because it all happens in the open, Iowans are able to try to persuade others to switch their support. Iowa has 1, precinct caucuses plus nearly "satellite" caucuses for Iowans scattered around the country, along with some taking place internationally.
After the second phase is done, support for each candidate is tallied again. The number of delegates each candidate receives is ultimately based on the number of supporters each candidate has once the nonviable contenders are eliminated.
The Iowa caucus is important because it is the first time that voters around the country see how the candidates fare in a real contest, rather than just in polling averages.
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